Deterministic scores and Probabilistic scores are displayed on maps (grid point scores) and over specific areas. They are available for individual month (7 lead-time) and the 12 overlapping seasons (4 lead-times). Analysis data provides from GPCP for rain and ERA-Interim for other parameters.
Brier, Roc, msss, correlation and ratio scores for upper and lower terciles and 2 extreme categories.
Scores over specific areas
ROC curves and reliability diagrams (1-month and 3-month forecast) for the upper and the lower terciles (and quintiles) over oceanic and continental areas.
Summary table over specific areas
Modes of variability
Probabilistic scores (ROC curves and reliability diagram) et déterministic scores (temporal correlations) over the hindcast period
1-month and 3-month score charts for sea level pressure modes of variability
Probabilistic scores (ROC curves and reliability diagram) et déterministic scores (temporal correlations) over the hindcast period
Summary table
Summary table for all lead-times of all initialization months.
Summary table for sea level pressure modes
Summary table for all lead-times of all initialization months.
Weather regimes
Probabilistic scores (ROC curves and reliability diagram) et déterministic scores (temporal correlations) over the hindcast period
Summary table
Summary table for all lead-times of all initialization months.