This page is dedicated to the verification of the hydrological forecast at seasonal timescale, over the 1993-2016 period . Scores are available for climatological forecasts (using the 24 years climate of the reference period) and for seasonal forecasts (forcing coming from seasonal forecast models). Reference data come from the SAFRAN-SURFEX-MODCOU reanalysis.
Monthly maps of riverflow scores
Monthly riverflow scores for stations
Monthly soil wetness index scores for regions/departements/basins
Synthesis of soil wetness index scores by region/departement/basin
Monthly snow water equivalent scores for regions/departements/basin
Synthesis of snow water equivalent scores for regions/departements/basin
Monthly mean flows : correlation, RPSS, AUC for the highest and lowest terciles.....
Monthly riverflow scores for stations
ROC curves and reliability diagrams for the 2 terciles, timeseries over the reference period.
Monthly soil wetness index scores for regions/departements/basins
ROC curves and reliability diagrams for the 2 terciles, timeseries over the reference period.
Synthesis of soil wetness index scores by region/departement/basin
AUC, RPSS and correlations.
Monthly snow water equivalent scores for regions/departements/basin
ROC curves and reliability diagrams for the 2 terciles, timeseries over the reference period
Synthesis of snow water equivalent scores for regions/departements/basin
AUC, RPSS and correlations